AMK Plans

So my plans for this AMK Standard format have changed once again with the new emergency ban announcement from WotC (Felidar Guardian is gone). I feel bad for two friends I have who only bought into the 4-color Saheeli combo deck because this past Monday’s announcement indicated that the deck was safe “for now.” Those friends dropped somewhere over $100 on the deck with the knowledge that it would likely be banned within the next 5 weeks at the next ban announcement but they wanted to play in some events with the deck. Then two days later an “emergency ban” happens and now they are out the money they spent.

Luckily for me, I mostly play Tier 1.5/2/complete jank decks so I’m generally safe from bannings. Let me tell you about the card that I am, unsurprisingly, most excited about…

Continue reading

Amonkhet Prerelease

So I wanted to offer some thoughts about my experiences this prerelease weekend. Unfortunately, I did not save any of my pools for further analysis and I’m at work at the moment so I don’t have exact decklists with me but I’ll sum up my overall experience and thoughts about the Amonket prerelease. I had terrible luck with most of my card pools (at least in terms of opening cool/exciting rares) so my opinions may sound a bit salty at times. Fair warning!

Continue reading

The Dangers of Point Estimation

Sorry I haven’t posted in so long. I sort of ran out of time to play Magic for a while over this past Standard. Part of that was a lack of motivation to set aside time for a format in which I wasn’t having as much fun as I did previously. Another part was a number of real-life issues cropping up in my PhD program that required more attention from me. But now I’m back as Amonkhet (AMK) is about to release.

In fact, my LGS holds a final “Top 8” tournament right before tonight’s midnight prerelease in which the top “point earners” compete for the title of “Store Champion” for the current Standard season. Somehow I’m still locked in for Top 8 in this mostly-for-fun tournament (the main prize is getting to choose where you sit for FNM games for all of next Standard and getting your name on a trophy :D) despite missing almost 5 weeks of FNMs. The way you earn points is by getting good records during our four-round FNMs each week. A 4-0 record is worth 5 points, a 3-1 record is worth 3 points, and a 2-2 record is worth 1 point.

Anyways, as I was idling at work today during my office hours I spotted a thread on Reddit discussing deck testing, and it reminded me that I’ve wanted to talk about the danger of blindly comparing win percentages between variants of a deck. Read on to learn more.

Continue reading